We think the sentiment is largely lifted up deal to Najib announcement of additional RM 20 bill to buy undervalued stocks by the government. Additional RM 6 billions over announced by Khazanah are evidence that lots of liquidity in Malaysia. We think KLCI will stable above 1600 in short with buy on dip suggestion. KLCI related with middle cap linked to government funds will be the best bet.
We think the market will slowly recover due to oversold in August
if there is no extra sudden event. Expected budget announcement in October to revise our reliance on high oil price and FED interest rate increase already losing its negative impact. Oversold stock will slowly recover by bargain hunters.
We bought some FBMKLCI-C4
We like to leverage a potential short term bottom of KLCI. We bought some FBMKLCI-C4 at RM 0.100.
Our portfolio fundamentally performed well
We do not have any changes in our fundamental view. All our top picks in our portfolio performed well in the last quarter. We continue to buy mildly of there is a bargain for the day. Today we bought KSL at RM 1.38.
Moody and Fitch warnings are not in good timing.
Unless budget to be announced really address all issues we are facing locally. If not, things not looking good and we may have a prolong period of down trend.
We bought UZMA and Tropicana
We bought UZMA again at RM 1.78 and Tropicana. We also added MQREIT as we believe the value is cheap at the moment.
We will continue support KLCI 1st day after Merdeka Day!
We believe KLCI will trail Fed and China movement. We continue to believe that once a one time interest rate raise by FED. US dollar may face temporary sell off until FED next move which we believe can be only happened in 2016.
We continue to also believe that China still has a lot of bullets to ensure its market stable from this level.
Local front oil may recover further or to form a genuine bottom around USD 35. But we believe OPEC does want to see it around USD 50 to 60.
With also Malaysia budget to be soon tabled. We believe the over budget on oil issue at USD 110 will be over. Perhaps BNM will be more agressive in defending RM at 4.2 level.
After October, we believe recovery on its way back to above 1650 to 1700. Although main street and stock market still weak. There are definitely lots of good valued stock can be invested. In short we still don’t see any factor that can cause another 1997.
Happy Merdeka Day!
58 years since independence. We hope the country’s leaders will manage the country with a more concious approach. People first policy oriented is the key to a better future.
We don’t understand the explanation of RM 2.6 Billions too
To our records we may be wrong, if so we apologize.
1. Najib encourage UMNO members have the spirit to fight like ISIS!
2. Then his government declared them as terrorism.
3. Then police force has rumours them target local Chinese tycoon for ransom.
4. Then his regime noted that the donation is to thank Najib to against them.
5. Then the donation becomes against Jews funding of opposition.
We are confused and not smart enough to understand too.
Probably a good time to start accumulate oil related stock
At USD 38 and rebounded to USD 40 above. We have monitored the movement and we do feel that it is too low to sustain the price at this level for future production. Furthermore, if China slow but US has resumed it’s upward momentum. We believe oil price will regain it’s strength once Iran and OPEC issues surrounding oil finally digested. We bought UZMA at RM 1.71 and we will start to buy more if prices are cheap.