RM movement will be key deciding factor next week

We believe KLCI will track RM movement next week.  USD 1 to RM 3.70 is a critical level.  If RM weakness continue will prompt more hedging hence can be critical to the market in short term.

Looking at the current trend and coming events like Fed interest rate hike and 1MDB issue.  We see 60% to 70% chance RM will break 3.70 level triggering more weakness in the market.

Nasdaq hit 5000 back to dot com era

The argument prevailing the day weather it is a bubble or justified trend.  Some argued it is due to low interest rate and strong cash flow of the tech.  Some said when interest rate has no way to move north, the whole market will pop.

We think the market is expensive now.  However those techs that leading the charge deliver real profit with good products for the market.  Probably when PE hit average 30 times.  A bubble will form. 

Once again it proves the big bang theory in world economy.  No matter up or down but eventually the universe is going to expand more.  Also if you have a good idea in tech. You got to goto US as there is the only place will give a good environment for techs.

We think the world markets are expensive except consolidated emerging market.  When low interest rate strategy ended and money shift again to emerging markets for historical new high.  We will think of a real pull back at that moment and we hope we smart enough to offload some shares.

We streamline our actions due to localized uncertainty prevailing

As we have mentioned that we are worrying about few uncertainties locally hovering around the market. We will now narrow our investment target into three (3) main defensive counters. We are still holding on all other portfolio but be focused at the moment.

1. MBSB – EPF own with strong EPS and turning to commercial bank as catalyst.

2. KAWAN – New expansion plant on its way with consistent sales and profit growth.

3. WHORSE – Consistent earnings with healthy dividend pay out.

Market will react positively over China central bank rate cut

We believe overall market will react positively next week due to China central bank rate cut of 0.25% over the weekend. As the second largest economy body and being largest trade partner of Malaysia and many ASEAN countries. A positive move that can start to re-activate more activities and even property prices in China.

A queit month expected moving into March 2015

Today is the last trading day of February of 2015. We do not expect too much development in sentiment for KLSE in the coming month. The key factor remained will be oil price, RM performance, 1MDB story development and upcoming GST in April. The best thing to do is to do nothing and wait for better opportunity.

Mixed earnings in average for the quarter

No surprise or shock but mostly in mixed to average lower profit for the quarters. Last minutes closing of quarter prompted hundreds of companies announcing their quarterly result.

We like White Horse with its consistent earnings with a positive results towards food segment. Kawan is doing well and OCB is in the black too. Financially we continue to favour Maybank, Affin and MBSB.

I raise our buy call on WHORSE with a target min RM 3.00. OCB will be our added list for food segment.

MSPORTS either is undervalue or fake accouting

All listed Chinese companies are not doing well both in Malaysia and Singapore.  Partially due to their credit worthiness and genuine attitude towards their business.  

If is true that if there is a quality company their first choice should be China and Hang Seng as their favourite. 

We have followed msports very long time.  A pretty much hate it or love it.  But with its consistent result and the current traded price is almost a non question bargain.  So it is either pearl in the shell or it is an empty one.  But we tend to be more risk taking and start buying with our write off possibility in mind.  We bought MSPORTS again today at RM 0.14 and warrant at RM 0.035

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