Crude is likely to be traded above USD 60 in 2017. With our budget planned at USD 45 per barrel. Above USD 60 will provide a strong support for both national and oil Economy. We are continuous positive in 2017.
Trump effect goes on
The Trump effect goes on and set many records in US Equities market. Even before he is going to deliver result. A stronger US market will definitely drag up the whole world economy. In this scenario, a recovery China also will lift up even more Economy.
The world Debt issues may skipped this round and heading for another new cycle. We will see a gradual recovery in all aspects coming years. Yes still before a next Debt issues crash waiting. But definitely not this round. We will adjusting our strategy real soon bias to aggressive.
We are optimistic in mid to long term of KLSE
We will continue buy into the market with our top picks. We will utilize a buy on weakness strategy. As we advocate a world recovery before the next crash due to debt. We believe it can be years after this recovery. The recovery will be mild and by stages. Thus no rush to buy heavily but gradually when weakness prevail. Asset oriented, Green, Food, Tech and agricultural remained our top picked of all industries. Whereas special pick on MBSB, CIMB and EIG remained main focus.
Solid job report in US is a good sign for world economy
Unemployment down 0.3% to 4.6%. If US and China both largest Economy of the world into recovery. Isn’t it a good fuel for world recovery? A greater chance for 2017 to be a better year than 2016.
We bought Amfirst and MBSB. Buy call on Affin as stable earning continued
As market continue weaken due to RM weakness. We bargain hunted some Amfirst and MBSB. Affin reported continuous stable profit. We continue our buy call with a target min above RM 3.00
OPEC agreed 1.2M barrels cut support higher oil price
Oil spike 8% after OPEC agreed cut of production. A reasonable oil price at USD 60 above does support growth in oil production company like Malaysia. If oil price is fixed and US the largest Economy grow. Isn’t It will lead the world Emerging markets towards recovery as well?
Will RM weaken further against USD?
We are always supporting USD is over valued. For an expected 25 basis points hike is not justify for a strong run. Even Trump won is yet to show a total revolutionary package for US economy. More important Emerging market currencies are not weak as declared by some punters.
However, the trend of the force is towards weak Emerging market currencies. We think the strong US dollar may be near it’s peak again.
Innity improved earnings positive
New improved earnings will invite fresh buyers for the counter. With a persistent support at RM 0.500 and we suggest that new support should be above RM 0.600. We are still holding 50% Balance of our previous investment. We will dispose if price is right continuously.
S&P, Dow and Nasdaq all hit records high on Trump effect
It is a evidence that there is a force behind all these. It is immense and powerful that can defy the actual investment rules. That’s why the market will always kill the smarties. Balancing yourself and rip profit from any trend is the only long term approach. We think a quick bubble is forming. But will it burst is a question hard to call.
MBSB announced result on target
Third quarter with slight improve in both pretax and revenue is on target. Impairment ratio at 2.91% and corporate ratio over retail is improved at 19:81. On target to 30:70. Overall registered a noticeable margin across all segment. We hereby continue our buy Call below RM 1.00 with a target of RM 2.00 above.