Personally, stocks are always sensitive to uncertainty. However, any chosen government is actually the majortiy wish of he country. In short term we will definitely see some flashes but in mid to long term. If the change is for good then market should by right moving upwards. Just look at Dow Jones as an example. I am not worry.
Update of our 2013 speculative picks
1. Bingo Group HK – C HKD 0.156 T HKD 0.300
2. Teledata Singapore – C SGD 0.012 T SGD 0.050
3. Astro-CE – C RM 0.050 T RM 0.100
4. GPacket – C RM 0.460 T RM 1.000
2012 in review – Happy New Year to all. “Invest for a better future”
The WordPress.com stats helper monkeys prepared a 2012 annual report for this blog.
Here’s an excerpt:
600 people reached the top of Mt. Everest in 2012. This blog got about 4,100 views in 2012. If every person who reached the top of Mt. Everest viewed this blog, it would have taken 7 years to get that many views.
KLSE should end higher but mathematically upside is difficult
I assume it closed 31st Dec 2012 at a higher note closing to 1,700 historical high. Our market will start to become expensive even though money smaller and our country continue to grow. But how much and how fast to justify another 100 – 200 pts rally?
The upside let say 1,800 and the down side can easily justify at 1,500 – 1,600 or more to average below 15 times PE. That exclude any further stress in the world markets. We will adopt selective involvement only from 2013 onwards on our asset, commodities and agricultural related segment only. We will be defensive and selective.
Top 5 Picks in 2013 for FBMKLCI
1. Sunway – C 2.34 and T at RM 3.00. New developments and asset related
2. Affin – C 3.40 and T at 4.00. One of the lowest valuation of financial. Still expect merging.
3. Allianz – C 6.90 and T at RM 10.00 Stable grow will enhance PE.
4. Alaqar – C 1.29 and T at RM 1.45 Asset related with stable business model to support
5. Layhong – C 1.25 and T at RM 1.80 Min. Agriculture, when revenue cover the increase cost, PE will enhance plus NTAV above RM 2.00
Above portfolio should have between yield of 3-5% annualy.
The world did not end on 21-12-2012 – Money will be smaller and weather will be more severe
Moving into 2013 and we believe more QEsss from different government across the world will be continue. The books of all trouble countries are not able to balance for sure. That will cause money to become smaller and smaller. On the other hand, 21-12-2012 was not the end of the world. But scientifically global warming is almost inevitable which will cause a more severe weather that’ll impact agricultures. Jim Rogers bet on farmers that are getting older and with little supplies to this world where no one would like to be farmers. We think further with hardship because severe weather will impact farms more and more.
Our proposed sectors to be invested in 2013 will be:-
1. Asset and Property related;
2. Commodities related;
3. Agricultures and Food related
*. Finally financials related – If the economy does not crash, when money smaller will give bigger revenue and profit to the bank.
Note: Jonah is the grammer corrector today!
Portfolio update 21-12-2012
Bought Layhong at RM 1.250, Qcapital REIT at RM 1.190, Sunway at RM 2.340, Poh Kong at RM 0.445, Hai-O at RM 2.210 and AscendasHT at SGD 0.925
Spritzr has crossed RM 1.00 heading to our target of RM 1.20
Probably a re-portfolio by fund manager or window dressing. We see Spritzr has got a bit more kick lately and crossed RM 1.00. We will continue to hold until above RM 1.20 before we reassess the valuation.
We sold Benalec and CIMBC25 for Lay Hong
As intermediate re-adjustment of portfolio, we sold off all our Benalec and CIMBC25 with mild profit. We use all balances bought into Lay Hong at RM 1.250
Windows dressing and QE4.1 lifted all markets
A strong closing this week on index linked equities worldwide is expected. Together with FED QE4.1 announced (my personal tracking) plus more to come. We will have situation no matter economy good or bad next year, money is definitely smaller.
We insist to asset related investment and expecting another few days of activities before coming to last peaceful week of the year.