Zeti said household debt is not at alarming level – I will only agree for now

I am totally agreed to what Zeti has explained about our household debt level against GDP. But what will be your idea ceiling? Should we start to react more proactive or wait until 90% before reaching a problem. Just like the credit card issue arisen years ago that firstly all denied is not an issue. Eventually, tougher measures have been introduced.

How much does Gpacket worth if P1 is to be sold off?

Personally, it depends on the supply chain of how fast should the deal going through. Time is not on the upper hand to GPacket as beside of infrastructure setup as advantage. The business proposition may not look good as LTE is continuous become a new standard.

Eventhough the tower deployed can also be upgraded but there will be a cost and LTE license is nothing special to all Telcos anymore. WIMAX does has a strength but the standard of the industry is trending to LTE.

I am not sure how much P1 will be sold but from the newspapers and so on. Understanding is between the range of RM 1.5 – RM 2 Billions. However, Gpacket only owe P1 61%. This not include if there is any debt restructuring or loan needed to be repayed. Roughly forecat around net of RM 800 Millions to be pocked back to Gpacket. Thus, plus the NTA of Gpacket of RM 0.170. There may be still many accounting not on the table. Roughly at the range of RM 60 to 80 cents will be at the safe side.

But that also depending on how much Gpacket will return back to share holder or they will venture into other business in the future. But time is the crucial factor over here.

Apple unveils Iphone 5S and 5C – Little below expectation

I am an Iphone fan that currently using Iphone 5 and a Samsung Active S4 phone. Personally i like Iphone interface and responsiveness. However, Android is packed with functions. Beside, the key issue for myself is the screen size that i may not need a huge 5″ and above smartphone. But i do need a bigger Iphone perhaps at 4.5″ but still good for my palm to hold it.

Announced with A7 64 bits and M7 motions chip. Together with a finger print reader at the same home button are potentially the key of the most important differentiation. Improvement in camera and new IOS 7 to be released soon.

However, we still think it is a little below expectation especially comparing to Samsung and Sony for their innovation and line of products that can suit many different categories of users. Personally, i will not upgrade my 5 to 5S as i dont see a big improvement. That may cause Apple a bit on sales. Perhaps Apple knows it and trying to include 5C as game changer for volume market. We shall see but we are not optimistic.

We have added Gold and AUD in our demo portfoilo

We added Gold at USD 1388 and AUD 3.05 against RM. We believe the recent election of Australia resulted in a strong government that can improve the sentiment at the moment and strengthen AUD.

If a war is to be on Syria, Gold will go higher. But again, our long term bet in Gold is due to the QEs problem that we hedge for a world worst disaster if any to come.

KLCI will range bound to continous slight upward close bias.

We don’t see any extreme stuff happen except US strike on Syria.  As we believe market start to digest and Obama idea to only limit strike on air.  

We don’t forecast politics but we believe KLCI will range bound 1,700 – 1,740.  If nothing much events will see more bargain hunting to support a small technical rebound with highly close end of the week expected.

Ringgit continous dropping has a purpose.

Month ago when worldwide central banks competing devaluing their currency especially started by Japan.  We speculate that BNM may follow as suddenly RM becomes too strong that will affect our export.   As Malaysia’s manufacturers are not use to hedging as RM is still a semi protected currency.
We suspect BNM take this regional minor crisis and devalue naturally RM by not intervening into its dropping value.  But we see won’t be far.  Max acceptable USD vs RM level will be around 3.60 and below.   First support should be below USD 3.40.

REDHA said Petrol hike and crack down on illegals will cost higher price to consumer! Unbelievable joke!!

Not just politics, even the business does not talk sense. I do agreed fuel price hike may incur cost in the supply chain. However, crack down on illegals that impact legal and illegal workers is definitely a joke.

Either I read the news as many local developers engage illegal workers. However, the crack down also caused many legal don’t dare to turn out and work.

Firstly, does REDHA suggest no crack down on illegals workers or property sector has exception? Since when things are becoming so complicated.

This is daily jokes that I think Yen can cook may better than our politicians now even REDHA. There will be a day when market force will take back as a decision making factor on price.

In this scenario, is our national interest is more important or property developers’ interest? You can forever transfer cost from supply chain but so do market whether can accept it or not.

Samsung unveils Smartwatch – Galaxy Gear, Note 3 and Note 10.1 – A further steps consolidating localized tech firms

A smart watch is nothing new. But the on going trend and its added functionality of latest Samsung new products range further hints the IT industry consolidation is entering into next level.

Why say so? Retail market is almost matured into cloud base software. Hardware is far more one can imagine and maximize to use it. Eventually, retail cloud base applications, hardware like Samsung and the medium which bring things together are the Telcos will probably left behind.

What if one day, the cloud base concept is to flood the corporate world? Resulting in further consolidation of localized technological firms. We see this happened in some large corporations in Malaysia where email service, office applications and share point portals are outsourced to Microsoft.

If a tech firm is not able to finding the niche by itself. We believe it will become survival issues faster than ever. As such, we call for a reduction of holding IT related technological counters which is non cloud and niche segmented.

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