Recovery Insighted – We changed our position short term to aggressive

I may be wrong again, but I believe this time round if covid 19 is not going to mutate further. The market is set to recover. Being calculating the total infected cases and also vaccinated population. The virus is hard to spread further.

As such, we changed our position to aggressive buying. Main focus into Jaks WB, WC, CC and CE. Following up with Serba Dynamik C26. As derivatives speculative investment. We also like MBSB C37 and MBSB C39.

As for stocks, we bought Dayang, DNEX as aggressive purchased. We stopped all essential purchases as of now

Admid double crisis, we will add more next week

Crisis of Covid 19 and crisis of political uncertainty. We will see a difficult week next week. But, for years we seen KLSE is almost at the lowest after series of sell down. But we will not get involved into Semicon counters.

On the other hand, our top holdings MBSB may faced pressure due to CEO passed away. A respect to him and may him rest in peace. As he has done a great job in the last few years in transforming MBSB. Being said so, it may be new blood to come in and this will be a new management soon. At this point, we will buy on weakness tomorrow for a week.

Our buying in the current trend – Cypark, Tenaga, Sunreit and Topgloves. We have also collected mildly on some Call Warrants for CIMB, MBSB and Jaks. We have also buying in aggressively for Jaks-WB. Unless unforseen issue arises relating to all these counters. We are having a buy call as of now.

We also bought mildly on DNEX as we think the turnaround of Siterra worth to pay attention as of today trend.

Due to money getting smaller. Properties and stocks market everywhere are heading up except South East Asia that attacked by Delta without enough vaccines. But I guess this will be the best time to reenter the market.

We nibbling essentials

The current market is cheap. With sky rocketing Covid 19 cases and political turmoil. However, we are not sure anymore when the market will recover. So we nibbling essential TNB at RM 9.70. Topgloves RM 3.78. MBSB at RM 590. But we have added speculative Jaks-WB at RM 0.270 consistently In few days.

Our strategy is turn very caution but bargain hunting essentials. Stay safe.

Simply lackluster, we just staying sideline

Quality stocks moving south. Speculative stocks rotational up and down. A market out of fundamental investment trend. That’s forced us to become a net seller for the past six months.

What are we going to do now? Yes there is value in the market. But we will not feel hesitate to sell down any speculative play on our holding.

We still keep MBSB, CIMB, Maybank, RHB Bank and lately we are into essential like Tenaga and Topgloves below RM 4. Overall, we did pick some long term warrants mainly Jaks.

We did buy very little Focus-PA and Focus-Warrant as we found nothing can lower. Given the speculative culture, we should have a big probability to unload it.

Overall, we are a net seller as of now.

We turned slightly cautious due to Extended Covid 19 issue

The vaccination progress isn’t go with the plan. With evidence of mutation in India perhaps can be even elsewhere. This is going to be a prolong problem for a very long time.

The previous hypothesis of recovery is no longer in our favour. Thus, we turned cautious with the strategy of reduce debt, slow down new investment, turning more unproductive portfolio to essential like Tenaga, TM, Maybank, Alaqar REIT. Though Nestle and Dutch Lady are good choice but the PE is too high to be investable. Perhaps, Topgloves can be a good bet together even with Bursa.

We are disappointed with the information given by world government leaders and pharmaceutical Company on vaccines. With the current rate, there is no way that herd can be achieved in 2021.

Rotational play but only if you understand it risk

A range of rotational play lately in the market. Lately burning into ICT related counters. However, only if you calculated the risk and you are comfortable with it. If not, go for recovery stock in retail, tourism, mall, airlines to catch the wave. Personally I think banks are inevitable coming back strong soon.

The Bull is in March

If based on world vaccination program and the infected rate possibly creates natural antibodies. I think by next month or most April herd will be achieved starting even US. Hold you stock in Feb and only consider dispose in March.

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